Masaniello
Definition
Masaniello is a money-management method that fixes the bank, the number of trades in a series and the required share of wins in advance, then computes each trade size so that reaching that share lands on a target profit. Unlike martingale, the total risk is capped at the bank and known before you start.
How Masaniello works
Before the series you fix four numbers: the bank, the series length (how many trades in total), the required share of wins and the payout. The method spreads the bank across the trades and, after every result, recomputes the next size. A win arrives — the goal is closer, so upcoming sizes drop; a loss arrives — sizes rise so the remaining trades can still reach the goal, but never beyond what the leftover bank allows.
That is the key difference from chase methods: the whole series can lose at most the starting bank, and that figure is known in advance. As soon as the planned share of wins is collected, the series closes at the target profit — regardless of the order in which wins and losses came.
A worked example
Bank $100, a series of 10 trades, payout 80%. First, the threshold: with a flat size you need at least 6 wins out of 10 to be in profit (6 × 0.80 − 4 × 1 = +0.80). Five is not enough: 5 × 0.80 − 5 = −1. So the series goal is to collect 6 wins.
Masaniello takes the same 6/10 threshold but sizes the trades so those 6 wins yield a meaningful profit on the full $100, not a token +$0.80. Compare the methods by whole-series risk:
| Method | Risk of a 10-trade series | Loss known in advance |
|---|---|---|
| Martingale (base $1) | > $100 by the 6th trade | no, grows like an avalanche |
| Masaniello (bank $100) | exactly $100 | yes, equals the bank |
| Flat size ($10) | $100 | yes |
The difference is not the size of the risk — it is control. With martingale, one long losing streak pushes the account past the bank; with Masaniello the loss ceiling is built into the math, and sizes adapt to both wins and losses.
Masaniello in the terminal
In the BinoView Supercharts bot builder the method is a dedicated sizing mode: you set the series bank, the number of trades and the target share of wins, and the bot computes each entry size and stops the series when the goal is met or the bank is spent. The bank limit here is not a safety afterthought but the essence of the method: it is your pre-known maximum loss.
How it differs from martingale
Both methods recover through size, but the logic is opposite. Martingale reacts only to losses and grows the size with no ceiling — a bet on a quick reversal of the streak. Masaniello plans the entire series upfront, caps the loss at the bank and adapts to both wins and losses — a bet that you will hit a realistic share of wins over a fixed number of trades. In short, martingale aggressively buys back the loss, while Masaniello carefully distributes a known risk.
Frequently asked questions
What do you set before the series starts?
Four parameters: the bank (how much you commit to the series), the series length (number of trades), the target share of wins (the win rate you plan for) and your asset's payout. From these the method derives each trade size on its own.
Is Masaniello safer than martingale?
It is more controlled: the maximum loss equals the series bank and is known before the start, whereas a martingale losing streak inflates the size like an avalanche. But 'more controlled' is not 'risk-free' — if the planned share of wins is not met, the whole bank is lost.
What share of wins should you plan for?
A realistic one, slightly above break-even for your payout. At an 80% payout, break-even sits near 56%, so planning for 75–80% is self-deception: the method will just stretch sizes toward an unreachable goal. Closer to reality is 58–62%.